Everything the Traderforum community is saying about $NZDCAD. Real ideas, analysis and live bull/bear sentiment — free and open.
Watching $NZDCAD today. We're testing the high 0.8170 resistance from earlier in the week again, it's held firm previously. A break and sustained close above this level could suggest further upside toward 0.8200. Conversely, if it fails to clear here, a retest of the 0.8120-0.8130 support zone seems likely.
My invalidation for a potential move higher would be a clear rejection around current levels, followed by a move back below 0.8140.
Watching the upcoming NFP print very closely for July rate hike implications. Current market pricing for a 25bps hike is around 70%, but a significant deviation from expectations could flip that quickly. If we see NFP come in materially stronger than the street's 180k consensus, say north of 220k, and average hourly earnings also tick up, I'd put the odds of a July hike closer to 85%. Conversely, a sub-150k print would likely push the probability below 50% and solidify a skip. The Fed's rhetoric has been data-dependent, and this NFP is a big one. No strong directional bias on $NZDCAD or $ADA from this report, though broader USD strength/weakness could have secondary effects. $IDR is somewhat insulated given its local dynamics but can't fully escape the global risk sentiment shifts if the print is truly wild.
Watching the RBNZ commentary today; they're certainly sounding more hawkish than some anticipated, pushing the idea of further rate hikes. This is giving $NZDCAD a decent lift, currently trading around 0.81506, up quite a bit from its daily low. If this sentiment continues to build, especially relative to the BOC's more tempered outlook, there might be further upside traction on the cross.
เทรดคู่ $EURUSD กับ $GBPUSD มาพักนึง เริ่มเข้าใจเรื่อง RR ratio อยู่บ้าง ทีนี้ลองขยับไปดูพวกคู่แปลกๆ อย่าง $USDMXN หรือ $NZDCAD เห็นบางช่วงมันวิ่งแรงมากในวันเดียว แต่ pip value มันไม่เท่ากัน เลยไม่แน่ใจว่าเวลาตั้ง RR ratio อย่าง 1:2 หรือ 1:3 เนี่ย จะคิดขนาด position size ยังไงให้มันสมดุลกับความผันผวนของแต่ละคู่ได้จริงๆ ครับ มีหลักการคำนวณที่เหมาะสม หรือวิธีปรับใช้ที่ผมควรรู้เพิ่มเติมไหมครับ
