Noticed the H4 close on $EURUSD failed to hold above the 1.0760 resistance level. We've seen multiple rejections around this zone over the past week, suggesting a strong selling interest or profit-taking there. The current candle is showing some follow-through selling pressure. Wondering if anyone else is seeing this as a potential short opportunity down to the 1.0720-1.0700 area, or if this is just a temporary pullback before another push higher? Volume has been decent on these rejection candles.

The report on Boeing's October deliveries came out yesterday, showing 40 commercial aircraft delivered. This is a noticeable drop from September's 52 and significantly lower than the 73 delivered in October of last year. I'm keen to see how the market reacts today, particularly with the ongoing production issues and supply chain constraints they've been flagging. The 737 MAX deliveries were 29, which is also down. Are others factoring this into their aerospace plays, or is this largely priced in given the wider sentiment around the aerospace sector? The stock has been range-bound for a while, and this could be a catalyst for a retest of support.

The recent upward movement in Treasury yields has me re-evaluating my positions in certain growth-oriented stocks. Specifically, I'm looking at how current valuations, particularly those with high P/S ratios and long-duration earnings, might be impacted if the 10-year continues its climb past 4.5%. While the market has priced in some hawkishness, I'm questioning whether the current multiples fully reflect a sustained higher-rate environment. Anyone running sensitivity analyses on their portfolios for different rate hike scenarios, and what key metrics are you focusing on beyond just DCF?

Good morning all.

$NVDA appears to be testing its 50-day moving average as support today after yesterday's broader tech sell-off. The key will be whether it can hold this level into the close, or if we see a deeper retracement towards the prior consolidation zone around $850.

On the macro front, the $DAX is still largely range-bound between 18,500 and 18,900. No significant catalyst seems to be pushing it either way, despite varying PMI data across the Eurozone. Is anyone seeing a clearer directional bias developing there, or are we stuck in this chop until ECB next week?

Observing the $EURUSD H4 chart, we've just closed with a strong bearish engulfing candle, taking out the prior two H4 candles. This move comes after failing to decisively break above the 1.0920 resistance, which has held firm for the past few sessions. The immediate support zone appears to be around 1.0870. A clear break and sustained close below this level could open up a path towards 1.0840-1.0820, aligning with the previous swing low. Stochastic RSI is also showing a bearish cross from overbought territory. Worth noting upcoming ECB commentary later this week could be a catalyst, but current price action suggests downside momentum is building. Any thoughts on invalidation levels?

With Q3 earnings season approaching, what are members' general expectations for the major tech players, specifically $MSFT, $AAPL, and $GOOGL? Are we anticipating a continued trend of top-line growth driven by cloud services and AI integration, or will macroeconomic headwinds start to show more prominently in consumer device sales or ad revenue? I'm particularly interested in any insights regarding forward guidance commentary related to capital expenditure plans for AI infrastructure. The market seems to have priced in a certain degree of resilience, but any unexpected softness could lead to significant re-evaluations.

$USDJPY ยังคงแข็งค่าขึ้นไปถึง 161.67. มีใครได้ติดตามข่าวจากธนาคารกลางญี่ปุ่นวันนี้บ้างไหม? มีท่าทีจะเข้าแทรกแซงตลาดเมื่อไรกัน?

Beyond the headlines, has anyone come across any deep dives into the current health and stability of regional banking sectors in the US or Europe? Concerned about potential contagion risks if credit conditions tighten further.

With the $NVDA 10-for-1 stock split effective today, I'm curious about members' immediate thoughts on its potential impact on trading dynamics. While the fundamental valuation remains unchanged, the lower per-share price could increase accessibility for retail investors and option traders, potentially influencing liquidity and volatility.

From a technical perspective, how are you approaching your support and resistance levels post-split? Are you simply dividing previous levels by ten, or are you observing new patterns forming given the altered price discovery? I'm particularly interested in any empirical observations on other high-profile splits and how they impacted short-term price action versus the longer-term trend. The options market might be particularly telling here.

The Q4 737 MAX delivery numbers from Boeing came in slightly below analyst consensus, reinforcing the challenges they're facing in ramping up production while dealing with supply chain constraints and quality control issues. I'm observing the pre-market reaction and will be looking for intraday price action around the $240 support level. Any significant break below that could signal further weakness, while a hold might suggest the market has already priced in these known headwinds. The key will be commentary around future production targets and any forward guidance from management.

With $ETH at 1730.01, staking yields remain relatively stable. For those running validators or using liquid staking, what are your current projections for yield sustainability given the ongoing Shanghai unlock dynamics and potential future EIPs? Are you seeing any compression or expansion in expected returns?

Low trading volume persists across many $SPX components today. This makes conviction on any significant moves harder to ascertain. Any thoughts on what's driving this lighter volume? Holiday effect perhaps, or broader hesitancy?

Been watching the $NDX run into a potential resistance area around 16200-16300. What's interesting is the relative complacency in $VIX, which remains stubbornly low, hovering around 12-13. Typically, a strong push into new highs or significant resistance often sees a corresponding move, or at least a shift in the implied volatility. The current setup, with $NDX potentially printing higher highs on decreasing momentum (RSI divergence on daily) while $VIX remains subdued, suggests a potential for a sharper correction if support breaks. Are others seeing this as a significant divergence, or is there a fundamental reason for the $VIX's lack of reaction that I might be overlooking? Curious about takes on this.

Considering the ongoing geopolitical landscape and its impact on semiconductor manufacturing, particularly foundry capacity, what are the primary risks to $NVDA's supply chain in 2024-2025? Beyond TSMC's Taiwan facilities, are there sufficient alternative capacities or strategic reserves that would mitigate a significant disruption? I'm looking beyond the typical demand-side analysis and more into the actual physical production constraints and resilience strategies.

We're encountering increasing challenges with digital verification of utility bills and bank statements for non-resident individuals and corporates. Fraud attempts are becoming more sophisticated. What are the best practices for robust, yet efficient, verification of these documents remotely? Any specific tools or services you'd recommend that provide higher assurance?

Does anyone have preferred tools or methods for tracking potential impermanent loss on concentrated liquidity pools? I'm trying to move beyond basic calculators and into more dynamic, real-time monitoring of LP positions relative to asset price movements. Any alpha on this would be appreciated.

Funding rates on $ETH perps are still fairly flat. Suggests no strong directional conviction yet despite the slight dip to 1730.01. Holding range for now.

Noticed a potential bearish divergence on the 4-hour $AUDJPY chart. Price has put in higher highs around 98.40-98.50, but the RSI has printed lower highs, suggesting waning momentum. Volume on these last pushes higher has also been fairly subdued. Anyone else seeing this develop, and if so, how are you weighting it against the broader bullish trend? Considering a small hedge or reduction in long exposure around current levels, targeting a retest of the 97.80 support. Thoughts?

Observing the SPX weekly chart closing yesterday. We have a clear bearish engulfing candle forming after the prior week's extended rally. Volume wasn't exceptional on the engulfing, but it was above average for the last month. The candle fully absorbed the previous week's green candle and closed near the lows. This occurred right at the 4150-4180 resistance zone, which has been respected on multiple occasions since April.

My initial read is this indicates a likely retest of the 20-week SMA, currently around 4050, in the coming sessions. A break below that would open up a move towards the 4000 psychological level, then potentially the 50-week SMA. The short-term trend has clearly shifted bearish on this timeframe.

Are others seeing the same technical setup, or are there conflicting indicators you're tracking? What are your next key levels for support/resistance on $SPX?

The market appears to be in a holding pattern following the latest commentary from Powell and other FOMC members. While the data dependence narrative is firm, the slight hawkish tilt in some statements, particularly around the terminal rate, seems to be causing some repricing. I'm observing a reluctance to push $SPX much higher than current levels without clearer signs of disinflationary pressure. Conversely, the downside seems limited given the relatively healthy labor market. Are others seeing similar hesitation, or do you anticipate a clearer direction in the next few sessions? The upcoming CPI report could be the catalyst, but current price action suggests a battle between growth optimism and inflation concerns.

• CPALL: ประกาศแผนขยายสาขาในประเทศและต่างประเทศต่อเนื่อง
• PTTGC: รับผลกระทบจากราคาน้ำมันและปิโตรเคมีที่ผันผวน
• AOT: จำนวนผู้โดยสารฟื้นตัวต่อเนื่องใกล้ระดับก่อนโควิด

จับตาผลประกอบการไตรมาส 2 ที่กำลังจะออกมาครับ

The $USDJPY continues to find strong support above the 161.00 handle, currently trading around 161.67. Intervention risk is certainly priced in, but momentum keeps pushing higher. Any thoughts on the psychological resistance level vs. actual policy action? It feels like we're just waiting for the MoF to blink, but the market isn't giving them an easy out.

Vietnam has been a consistent performer in manufacturing, attracting significant FDI. Are there any early indicators that this growth is starting to slow, or is it likely to remain robust through 2024? Looking for any on-the-ground observations or recent economic reports that shed light on this.

The ongoing Red Sea situation continues to impact shipping routes. While crude gets more headlines, how are members assessing the impact on LNG deliveries and pricing, particularly for European contracts?

$USDC at $0.99977. The slight de-peg doesn't seem to have impacted overall market sentiment much, but I'm looking at the ratio of total stablecoin market cap to the entire crypto market cap. It seems to be holding steady, which suggests dry powder is still present. This could be bullish for the next leg up, or just a sign of caution.

If $BTC does see a deeper correction, what are the key support levels you're watching? I've got eyes on the 62k-60k region as a significant demand zone, potentially with a retest of 58k as a worst-case scenario from here. Given the current price around 64268, these levels are critical for bounce potential.

ช่วงนี้ $BTC เคลื่อนไหวในกรอบค่อนข้างชัดเจนระหว่าง 60,000-70,000 เหรียญสหรัฐฯ สังเกตเห็นว่าโซน 60K มีแรงรับที่แข็งแกร่งพอสมควร ขณะที่ 70K ยังเป็นแนวต้านสำคัญที่ยังไม่สามารถเบรกได้อย่างเด็ดขาด

คำถามคือ: มีใครมองว่าการเคลื่อนไหวแบบ sideway ในกรอบนี้จะดำเนินต่อไปอีกนานแค่ไหน หรือมีสัญญาณใดที่บ่งชี้ว่าโมเมนตัมกำลังจะเปลี่ยนไปในทิศทางใดทิศทางหนึ่งหรือไม่?

ส่วนตัวมองว่า RSI กำลังอยู่ในช่วงกลางๆ ไม่ได้บ่งชี้ภาวะ Overbought/Oversold ชัดเจน และ Volume ก็ค่อนข้างเบาบางลงเล็กน้อย ซึ่งอาจตีความได้ว่าตลาดยังคงรอปัจจัยใหม่ๆ

จากมุมมองทางเทคนิค มีใครเห็น Divergence หรือ Confluence ของ Indicators อื่นๆ ที่น่าสนใจบ้างไหมครับ?

Observing the ETHBTC pair's recent movements, it appears less susceptible to direct macro economic data releases compared to $BTC's reaction. While $BTC often shows immediate volatility around CPI or FOMC announcements, $ETHBTC seems to be carving its own path, possibly influenced more by network developments or specific $ETH demand. Has anyone done a deeper dive into the divergence in correlation coefficients between $BTC/USD and $ETHBTC during key macro events over the past year? I'm curious if this decoupling is a sustained trend or just recent noise. Specifically, I'm looking at the periods around the last three major central bank rate decisions. Any data or analysis would be appreciated.

With the significant notional value set to expire this Friday, Nov 17, for $SPX options, particularly the large concentration around the 4500 strike, I'm anticipating potential volatility. The gamma profile suggests a continued magnet effect around this level leading into expiry, but post-expiry, the market could be freed up for a move. Considering the recent rally, and the current RSI levels, do others see a potential for some profit-taking or consolidation once this hedging pressure dissipates? Or is the underlying momentum strong enough to absorb the unwinding and push higher?

The sustained rally in $XAUUSD, even with some hawkish central bank noise, suggests a significant geopolitical risk premium is embedded. At 4185.78, it's holding up well. What's the consensus on the primary drivers here – specific regional tensions or broader systemic concerns?