$EURCHF

Been keeping an eye on $EURCHF this week, and that 0.9378 level is proving quite stubborn. We've seen a few bounces off it, suggesting some underlying demand there, but the overall momentum still feels a bit heavy. If it breaks decisively below that support, I'd expect a push lower, potentially towards 0.9350. However, if it manages to hold and we get some follow-through buying, we could see a retest of the 0.9400 area. For me, a clean close below 0.9370 would invalidate the current mini-bounce thesis and point to further downside. Just my two cents, interested to hear what others are seeing.

Been watching the $BTC action closely, especially after that dip. The confluence of macro factors, like the Fed's stance and the upcoming halving, makes for a fascinating setup. While the initial post-ETF euphoria has clearly faded, the underlying demand structure still looks solid on-chain. I'm putting the odds of us seeing $BTC touch 70k again by the end of April at around 40%. My reasoning isn't based on a parabolic run, but rather a gradual grind up, potentially fueled by institutional re-accumulation if the broader market holds its nerve. We saw strong support defend the recent lows, and the longer-term holders haven't shown significant capitulation. It's not a slam dunk, especially with the general market volatility ($OIL still holding up, $EURCHF range-bound), but the path of least resistance could be higher if dip buyers re-emerge and global liquidity remains accommodative. A break above 66k would significantly increase those odds, in my view.

Watching $EURCHF closely today, seeing it nudge down to 0.94016 after the recent ECB commentary that seemed to reinforce a dovish stance for longer. It's difficult to see a significant reversal until we get some clearer signals on inflation from the Eurozone. For now, my watchlist has me considering opportunities on dips, but the overall trend remains challenging for the bulls.

Still watching $EURCHF around 0.9410. If we can't get a convincing close above that, I'm thinking the current bounce might just be a retest of prior support turned resistance before another leg lower. Invalidated if we hold above 0.9410 with some conviction on a daily close.

The Swiss National Bank's unexpected rate hike this morning has me rethinking my short $EURCHF positions. Will need to see if this is a one-off or a shift in central bank hawkishness that could push the franc higher across the board.