r/options

Watching $CRV pretty closely today. It's been hovering around the $0.258 mark, not far from its daily low of $0.2567. To me, it looks like it's testing a pretty significant support level here that's held for a bit. If we see a sustained break below $0.255, I think we could see a pretty swift move down, potentially towards the next floor around $0.24. The bullish scenario, of course, would be a strong bounce from here and a move back towards the $0.267 daily high, but the selling pressure seems a bit persistent at the moment.

Watching $SI closely around the 18.65 level. It's held as a support several times intraday, showing some buying interest there. The broader trend still looks weak though, and a sustained break below 18.60 would seriously invalidate that support, probably opening up a path to 18.20 or even lower. Just my read, but the bounces are getting less aggressive.

Been watching $CRV around the $0.25 level for a while now. The price action today, dipping to $0.2531 and now hovering at $0.2546, suggests a persistent struggle to find buying interest at these levels. It looks like it's carving out a lower high on the daily, and if it breaks convincingly below the $0.25 psychological support, we could see a significant downside extension. My primary concern is that the current bounce, if you can call it that, lacks any real volume, indicating a lack of conviction from buyers. A clear close above $0.26772 would invalidate this bearish outlook for me, suggesting the potential for a recovery.

Been watching $SI today and that dip to 18.65 caught my eye. It rebounded fairly quickly, suggesting some decent buying interest there, or at least a lack of conviction from sellers to break it lower on the first touch. I'm wondering if anyone else is seeing that as a potential short-term support level? If it holds and we get another bounce from there, it could present an interesting opportunity for a defined-risk bullish options play, maybe a call spread, but obviously a sustained break below 18.65 on heavy volume would invalidate that whole idea pretty quickly.

Been looking at the $US30 chart today, and that 53730 area, which was the lower bound of the day's range, seems to be holding a bit of significance. We dipped down there earlier, found some buyers, and bounced. It's not a screaming signal, but if we see a sustained break below 53730, especially on decent volume, I'd consider that a pretty solid invalidation of any short-term upward momentum. It feels like a line in the sand, at least for now, indicating where the market might decide to re-evaluate its current enthusiasm. Always a good time to remember how quickly things can change, of course. My conviction is as solid as a chocolate teapot in a heatwave until proven otherwise.

Been watching $EM for a bit now, and it's certainly interesting around this 1.195 level. We've seen it bounce off this zone a few times in the past, suggesting a potential support or at least a magnet for price action. If it can hold here and build some momentum, we might see it try to push towards the 1.205-1.21 range again. On the flip side, if we break clearly below 1.193 on a sustained basis, especially on higher volume, then this whole idea of support here is probably out the window and we'd need to re-evaluate for a push lower.

Been keeping an eye on $ATOM this morning, and it's pretty clear it struggled to hold above the 1.44 mark, hitting a day high there before pulling back. It's now sitting around 1.396. For me, that 1.44 level looks like a key resistance right now, and the inability to push through it today, especially with the selling pressure that followed, suggests there's still some weakness there. If we see a sustained move above 1.45 on decent volume, I'd probably re-evaluate, as that would invalidate this current resistance read. Otherwise, I'm thinking further downside or consolidation around these levels might be on the cards for a bit. Just my take, always open to seeing it differently.

It seems $ATOM has had a tough time breaking through that 1.44 resistance today, retreating after hitting it. A sustained break below 1.41 could indicate further weakness, possibly heading towards the 1.38 area if momentum shifts.

Been keeping an eye on $LUNA today. It's holding around 1.27, but the move up from the 1.26 intraday low looks a bit stretched on shorter timeframes. I'm wondering if we might see a retest of that 1.25 support level soon. If it holds there, it could provide a decent setup, but a sustained break below 1.25 would pretty much invalidate that idea for me, suggesting further downside is more likely. The volume isn't exactly screaming conviction either way right now, which adds to the cautious outlook.

Been watching $ATOM for a bit, and it's certainly had a tough go lately. That $1.40 area feels pretty critical. We've seen a couple of probes below it today, but so far, it's bounced back slightly. My current read is that if we can't hold this zone convincingly, especially with the daily closing below it, we could be looking at a retest of the $1.35 or even $1.30 region fairly quickly. The overall momentum just isn't there to support a strong push higher right now, at least not until we get some more meaningful volume.

On the flip side, a sustained push back above $1.45 on decent volume might suggest a temporary reprieve and perhaps a consolidation within a tighter range. However, for me, the primary risk to any bullish scenario here is a decisive break and hold below $1.398. That would invalidate the current mini-support structure and open the door for a more significant downward move. Just my two cents, always open to other perspectives!

Been watching $ADBE today after that pretty significant drop. It's currently hovering around the 263.86 mark, and it looks like it's trying to hold onto the 260 psychological support level from previous action. We saw it bounce off 263.76 earlier, which is encouraging, but the overall candle today is still pretty red.

My thinking is we're either going to see a decent bounce from here, possibly testing the 270 level again if the broader market holds up, or a clean break below 260 could open up some downside risk. The 260 level is my line in the sand. If it breaks convincingly below that on decent volume, I'd expect further downward movement. On the flip side, if it consolidates here and we see some buying pressure come in, particularly if we get a close above, say, 265-266 tomorrow, it could be a setup for a move back towards the pre-earnings dip levels. Just my two cents, obviously, anything can happen.

It's been a rough ride for $SSE today, shedding nearly 20% to settle around $0.1567. Looking at the intraday range, we bounced off $0.15, which could be a psychological support, but the selling pressure to reach $0.1893 earlier on the day and then fall back so sharply is concerning. I'm looking at how volatility options might price in a continuation or reversal; the risk, of course, is if this level fails and we see a further flush towards the next round number. For now, it's a watch-and-learn for me regarding implied volatility on any short-term contracts.

Watching $USO closely here around the 127.60 level. We've seen some decent buying pressure today, but I'm looking at the implied volatility. If we start seeing a push above 128.00 and it holds, I'd expect calls to get expensive pretty quickly, especially with the recent run-up; conversely, a failure to hold this level could see a swift pullback towards the prior day's open. My main risk for this outlook would be a sudden shift in broader market sentiment that overrides oil-specific factors, which could make any short-term IV read a lot trickier to lean on.

Watching $SPCX today, it had quite the run, hitting 139.23 at one point. I'm wondering how others are thinking about potential IV crush here. If it consolidates around the 138-139 range tomorrow, I'd expect short dated calls to lose some juice quickly, assuming no further major news. My thinking would be that a break below today's opening of 130.17 invalidates any short-term bullish outlook for further quick moves, leading to a faster decay in volatility premium.

Been looking at $EURCAD for a few days now, and it seems to be really struggling to make any decisive move past this 1.6090 resistance. We saw it poke above it briefly today to 1.60953, but it couldn't hold. The prior day's high was also rejected from similar territory. It feels like a key decision point here. If it can't find solid footing above 1.6090 soon, I'd anticipate a retest of the 1.6080 area, potentially even lower toward the 1.6050-1.6060 zone. The risk to that view, obviously, is a strong impulse move through 1.6100, which would likely negate any immediate downside bias and put 1.6120 and higher back on the table. For now, it's a waiting game to see which way it resolves from this range.

Been keeping an eye on $Y over the last few sessions, and that 847.79 level is really starting to look like a critical pivot. We've seen it act as both support and resistance pretty consistently over the past few weeks. On the daily, the recent price action around 847.62-847.9 is creating a very tight range, almost a coiling effect. I'm leaning towards the idea that a break above 848.00 on any significant volume could signal a move higher, perhaps towards the 855 area, given the lack of substantial overhead resistance there. The flip side, of course, is that a convincing close below 847.50 would invalidate that scenario for me, suggesting we could retest the lows from last month around 840. The volatility feels compressed, which often precedes a larger move, one way or the other.

I'm keeping a close eye on $XOP today, particularly the 176 level. We've seen a strong move today, currently around 175.93, pushing up against what looks like significant resistance from prior swing highs back in late July. If we can punch through 176 convincingly and hold it, that would open up the possibility for a retest of the 180s. However, the intra-day high of 176.27 shows some early rejection, and if we fail to maintain momentum here, especially with the 5.73% gain already baked in, a pullback to retest the 170 support would not surprise me. My thesis of continued upside is invalidated if we see a firm close back below the 170-171 range in the next day or two.

ผมกำลังจับตา $TOP ที่ 11.44 บาทวันนี้ มีการขายออกมาพอสมควรทำให้ราคาลงมาทดสอบจุดต่ำสุดของวันที่ผ่านมาที่ 11.44 บาทเลย ผมมองว่าถ้าหลุดระดับนี้ไปได้ ก็อาจจะมีแรงขายตามมาอีกหน่อย การเข้า Call option ในช่วงที่ตลาดมีความไม่แน่นอนสูงแบบนี้จึงค่อนข้างมีความเสี่ยงสูง และ Delta ของ Call option ที่ OTM ก็จะลดลงเร็วมากถ้าตลาดไม่กลับตัวเร็วๆ แต่ถ้าเกิดว่ามันสามารถรักษาระดับ 11.44 บาทเอาไว้ได้ และมีวอลุ่มซื้อกลับเข้ามา ก็อาจจะเห็นการกลับตัวสั้นๆ ได้บ้าง แต่โดยส่วนตัวยังมองว่าถ้าตลาดเป็นแบบนี้ Put option อาจจะน่าสนใจกว่าในเชิงของการบริหารความเสี่ยง ถึงแม้ Premium จะไม่ได้หวือหวามากนักก็ตาม

Been watching $KWEB closely this week. It's pushing up against the 29.10 level, which has acted as pretty strong resistance recently. Today's close near 29.035 is interesting; it tried to break above, hitting 29.14 intraday but couldn't hold. If it can clear 29.10 convincingly with volume, I'd expect it to challenge 30. On the flip side, a failure to break and a move back towards 28.60 would signal a potential return to the recent consolidation range. My invalidation for a continued bullish push would be a clear break below 28.50 on any significant volume, suggesting sellers are back in control.

It's been a pretty good day for $CRV, up over 11% and pushing against that 0.2662 resistance from earlier today. I'm keeping an eye on whether it can break and hold above that for any further upside, otherwise, a rejection could see it retesting the 0.23-0.24 zone again.

I'm keeping a close eye on $KWEB around the 29.14 level. It's been range-bound for a bit, and a sustained move above this point, especially on increasing volume, could signal a bullish continuation. The risk, as always, is a rejection at this resistance, sending it back towards the lower end of its recent range.

Been keeping an eye on $XOP today, currently trading around 166.4. It's been range-bound for a bit now, and I'm seeing it test that 164.00-164.50 area again, which has acted as decent support in the past. If it holds that level and we start to see some positive divergence on the shorter timeframes, there could be a setup for a move back towards the upper end of its recent range, perhaps around 168.75. However, if it convincingly breaks below 164.00 on decent volume, especially on a daily close, then my read would be off. That would likely open the door for a deeper retrace, invalidating any immediate bounce scenarios I'm looking at. Always tricky, these energy plays, but the levels are pretty clear.

Been watching $UGAZ consolidate around this 10.60 - 11.20 range for a bit now. On the daily chart, it's holding above the 200-day moving average, which is constructive, but the volume has been pretty anemic during this sideways action. My read is we're either building a base for another push higher towards the 12.50 area, or this is just a bear flag before we retest prior lows.

The bull case hinges on a clean break and hold above 11.25 on decent volume. If it can clear that, I think the path to 12.50 is pretty open. The risk that invalidates this would be a daily close below 10.50. If we lose that level, especially with any conviction, then the probability shifts heavily towards retesting 9.80, maybe even 9.20. Option premiums around this instrument can be tricky; vol seems to inflate pretty quickly on moves. Just some thoughts, happy to hear other takes.

Been watching $KWEB closely this week. It's pushing against that $28.76 level, which seems to have acted as a pivot point for a while now. On the daily, we're seeing some attempts to clear it, but nothing definitive has stuck yet. The volume on these pushes hasn't been overwhelming, which makes me a bit cautious about a sustained breakout.

My take is that if we fail to get a convincing close above $28.79 over the next couple of sessions, we could easily see a retest of the lower end of its recent range. The risk scenario for me would be a swift rejection from this level, perhaps back towards $28.65, invalidating the current upward pressure. Not looking to take a position yet, but definitely keeping it on the watchlist for a clear move.

It's interesting to see $EURUSD hovering right at the 1.195 level. I'm watching to see if this holds as support or if we test that 1.2 psychological level again, which seems to have acted as resistance previously. A clean break and hold below 1.19 would definitely invalidate any short-term bullish lean I might have.

เห็น $SSE วันนี้ราคาลงมา 19.97% ปิดที่ 0.1567 แต่ยังอยู่ในกรอบ 0.15-0.1893 นะ. ถ้าหลุด 0.15 ลงไป มีโอกาสไปต่อได้อีก แต่ถ้าเด้งกลับมายืนเหนือ 0.165 ได้ อาจจะเห็นการฟื้นตัวระยะสั้น. ส่วนตัวมองว่ายังเสี่ยงอยู่.

Been keeping an eye on $KWEB around this 28.40-28.60 area today. It's dipped below 28.40 but bounced back a couple of times, suggesting there might be some underlying support building, or at least a temporary floor. If it can hold above this level by end of day, especially with the slight uptick we've seen, it could signal a decent retest and perhaps a move back towards the upper 29s. However, a sustained break and close below 28.30 would certainly invalidate that short-term idea for me and I'd be looking for a deeper retest of prior lows.

Been watching $EWZ for a while now, and this current dip down to the 35.00-35.20 area is catching my eye. It's a level that's shown some historical support, or at least a place where buyers have stepped in previously. Given today's move down to 35.22, it feels like it's testing that psychological boundary again.

I'm curious if others are seeing the same thing. On one hand, a bounce here would suggest that this range still holds some significance. On the other hand, a decisive break below 35.00, especially if we see follow-through selling into tomorrow, would really change the picture for me and suggest the next leg down could be in play. Just trying to gauge the collective temperature on whether this is a dip worth exploring or if the broader trend is too strong to fight here. What are your thoughts on this level?

พอดีวันนี้เห็น $UGAZ วิ่งอยู่ในกรอบที่น่าสนใจครับ ตอนนี้ราคาอยู่แถวๆ 10.82 ซึ่งดูเหมือนเป็นจุดที่กำลังจะตัดสินใจว่าจะไปทางไหนต่อ วันนี้ราคาแกว่งตัวระหว่าง 10.61 - 11.25 ถ้าสังเกตจากกราฟสั้นๆ ผมเห็นว่าบริเวณ 10.60 เนี่ยค่อนข้างจะเป็นแนวรับที่แข็งแรงอยู่พอสมควร ในขณะที่แนวต้านระยะสั้นอยู่ที่ประมาณ 11.20-11.25

สิ่งที่ผมกำลังคิดคือ ถ้า UGAZ สามารถยืนเหนือ 10.80 ได้อย่างแข็งแกร่ง ก็มีโอกาสที่จะไปทดสอบ 11.20 ได้อีกครั้ง แต่ถ้าหากหลุด 10.60 ลงไปอย่างมีนัยสำคัญ ความเสี่ยงก็คืออาจจะลงไปหาแนวรับถัดไปที่ลึกกว่านั้นครับ ผมยังไม่ได้เข้าเทรดนะครับ แค่เฝ้ารอจังหวะที่ชัดเจนกว่านี้ในการใช้กลยุทธ์ Option ครับ กำลังดูพวก Call/Put ที่จะเข้าถ้าเกิด breakout หรือ breakdown ชัดเจน

Noticing $USLV at 15.82 after a significant day range; it's pushing the 16.19 high but seems to be losing steam, which makes me think of an exhaustion candle, particularly if it can't hold above 16.00 by close and consolidates lower. That said, a clean break and hold above 16.20 would invalidate my thought process and could see it run higher.