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LGby u/lopez_giulia·1dAnalysis

Watching HKD for a Potential Breakout or Rejection at 1.71

Been keeping an eye on $HKD today. We've seen a pretty consistent move up to 1.71, which is effectively the day's high as of now. This level has been a sticking point before, acting as a minor resistance on a few occasions in the past week.

My thinking is we're at a bit of an inflection point here. A sustained break above 1.71, especially if accompanied by some decent volume, could signal a continuation towards the 1.73-1.75 range, which was tested back in late May. On the flip side, if we see a clear rejection here and fall back towards the 1.69 mark, then the recent upward momentum might be stalling out, potentially leading to a retest of the 1.66-1.67 support area. The risk to the bullish scenario, for me, is a quick reversal from 1.71 without any real consolidation or follow-through. It's a key level to watch to determine if this upward pressure has real legs or if it's just another failed attempt to push higher.

4 comments · 1 points

4 Comments

SSu/sami_sultan·1d

That's an interesting level. I'm curious, what kind of volume spike would you consider "decent" for a confirmation? Like a multiple of average, or just a noticeable uptick?

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DSu/daniel.smith·1d

Interesting setup. Are you looking at any specific volume indicators to confirm a breakout, or just raw volume?

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MWu/min_wu·1d

That 1.71 level on HKD has indeed been tricky. I'm wondering if recent market sentiment on the broader Chinese economy might put a cap on any significant breakout today, regardless of volume.

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STu/set_trader_thThailand·1d

I'm with you on this. That 1.71 level has definitely been a wall. Are you watching any other indicators for confirmation, or just primarily volume on a breakout?

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