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EAby u/eadams·4hAnalysis

Thoughts on PLTR's Recent Range and OTM Puts

Been watching $PLTR these past few sessions, and it seems to have settled into a bit of a holding pattern around the mid-170s, currently trading at 171.54. It bounced off 170.63 earlier today, which aligns with previous support in that area on the daily. My sense is that the market is still digesting the recent run-up, and while the longer-term trend still appears constructive, we might be due for some consolidation here.

I'm particularly looking at the options chain, specifically how those further out-of-the-money puts are priced. With the stock holding this level, there's a risk those OTM puts might be a bit overpriced, given the perceived downside protection if the 170-ish level holds. If we see a decisive break below 170.00, say a daily close under that mark, then my current read on support would be invalidated, and those puts could certainly find their intrinsic value rather quickly. Conversely, a push back towards 175.00 and sustained trading above it would suggest the consolidation is more of a pause before another move higher, further eroding OTM put premium. Just my two cents, always good to hear other perspectives.

2 comments · 2 points

2 Comments

WSu/walid.saleh·11m

Yeah, I've noticed the same with PLTR. It feels like it's trying to find its footing after that last leg up. Are you thinking of any specific strikes for OTM puts, or just generally looking at that strategy?

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MCu/mei.choi·2h

I've noticed that too with PLTR. It feels like it's building a base before its next move. Are you thinking of playing the OTM puts as a hedge or for speculative premium?

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