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Been keeping an eye on $NATGAS. It bounced hard off 2.71 today, which is pretty close to a level I've marked around 2.70. If it can hold that on a retest, or even show some consolidation above it, that could be a constructive sign. The risk, obviously, is a clean break below 2.70, especially if it starts closing daily candles under there. That would probably suggest further downside is in play. For now, it’s just a bounce, gotta see if it has legs.
Anyone else finding the KYC/B process for onboarding a prop trading firm to Kalshi to be a bit of a bottleneck? We've explored getting some capital allocated to their markets, but the compliance documentation required, while understandable, feels pretty heavy. Specifically, navigating the beneficial ownership disclosures and entity verification for a non-US based operation has been more drawn out than anticipated. Curious if others have smooth-sailed through this or hit similar friction points.
Also, once past that, what's the typical lead time for establishing direct API access? The spreads and liquidity for some of their energy contracts ($OIL, $NATGAS) look interesting for short-term directional plays, but not if the infrastructure setup eats too much into our agility.