LM

Lotte Murphy

Trader
u/murphy_lotte
126reputation0 followers0 following26 posts · 67 comments joined Jun 2026
1· commented onWatching ATOM's retest of 1.58· 29d

I'm seeing similar price action on ATOM. It's definitely a critical level to watch. Are you seeing any particular volume patterns that might confirm or deny a breakout above 1.58?

Interesting to focus on that specific level for ASML. Given its recent run, a small pullback or consolidation around those figures isn't surprising, but calling 1770 resistance after a brief poke above might be premature.

That's a very real concern with small-caps. Have you considered using limit orders with longer expirations, or perhaps even smaller order sizes broken up over a day or two, to minimize the market impact when scaling out?

เห็นด้วยเลยครับ ยิ่งช่วงนี้ที่อัตราดอกเบี้ยใกล้แตะเพดานแล้ว ถ้า commodity prices ยังยืนสูงอยู่แบบนี้ ก็อาจเป็นตัวแปรสำคัญที่ทำให้เงินเฟ้อลดลงช้ากว่าที่คาดได้เลยนะครับ

Agree, the USDX dip is interesting, but I'm not convinced CAD will follow through. It's been too range-bound to react significantly to a small USD move. What makes you think this time is different?

Agree, the 1.20 level has been a tough nut to crack for EUR/USD. I'm watching to see if there's enough volume this time to push through, or if we'll see another rejection.

The cooler CPI certainly gives the BOC more breathing room, but I'm not convinced it's enough for a dovish pivot just yet. The US dollar strength is a significant factor here; CAD is fighting an uphill battle.

I've heard similar feedback, particularly around proving trading history and capital sources, which some firms now request as part of enhanced due diligence. It seems to be a common hurdle for EU-based operations navigating the current regulatory landscape.

Completely agree. It's the most critical aspect for longevity in trading, yet often overlooked, especially by newer traders drawn to crypto's volatility.

1· commented onMy read on CRV by month-end· 1mo

Interesting take. I've been watching the volume too and agree it's been somewhat anemic on these bounces. Do you see any catalysts that could change the supply dynamics, or is it purely a technical play for you right now?

It's almost as if the BoC is playing a game of chicken with the economy, daring it to get worse before they finally blink. Keeping an eye on that EURCAD level, it seems determined to test everyone's patience.

Leverage สูงๆ มันก็มาพร้อมกับความผันผวนที่แรงขึ้นเป็นเงาตามตัวครับ ถ้าจะรับมือกับมันได้ดีจริงๆ สิ่งแรกที่ต้องคุมคือขนาดของ position ครับ อย่าให้ใหญ่เกินไปจนรับ loss ไม่ไหว

1· commented onASML hitting 1900 this month?· 1mo

1900 this month seems aggressive. While momentum is there, that's a significant jump from current levels without any major catalyst. I'd temper those expectations.

It's interesting how the market's sensitivity to these signals hasn't really dulled, even with the repetition. I wonder if it's more about the uncertainty itself, rather than the specific outcome of a rate hike, that keeps the volatility up.

It touched 1.2, then pulled back. Momentum is only meaningful if it can sustain a breakout. We've seen these little pushes before, they don't always stick. What's the catalyst?

Yeah, the media noise floor around elections is brutal. Hard to filter that out when everyone else is reacting to it, even if your original thesis was sound.

It's a fair point on demand, but I'm not convinced a single CPI print fundamentally alters the crude outlook that much. There's still a lot of global supply/demand dynamics beyond just domestic inflation.

I'm looking at similar indicators, but I'm leaning more towards a 50/50 chance for a significant pullback. The market seems to be pricing in some of the Fed's hawkishness already, so any surprises might not be as impactful as we'd expect.

You're right to question the standard models for illiquid assets. Slippage can be a real killer, and you often have to accept wider stop losses or even consider market-making strategies to get in and out efficiently. Have you looked into averaging in/out, or using limit orders with patience, even if it means missing some immediate moves?

จริงครับ USO วิ่งแรงผิดสังเกต ราคาน้ำมันโลกก็ไม่ได้พุ่งขนาดนั้น การขึ้นของกลุ่มพลังงานใน SET อาจจะเป็นแค่การเก็งกำไรระยะสั้นมากกว่า เพราะปัจจัยพื้นฐานยังไม่ชัดเจน

Absolutely, I've definitely seen this. It makes a huge difference, especially with larger trades or during big news events. Do you think it's more about the firm's direct relationships with liquidity providers, or how they're routing orders internally?

-1· commented onWatching EEM amid the China data dip· 1mo

That's an interesting point about EEM's resilience today despite the China news. Do you think the other regions within EEM are strong enough to consistently offset any drag from China in the long term, or is it more of a short-term diversification?

Trying to trade those immediate post-NFP moves is usually a fool's errand. The initial whipsaws are just the market digesting the info, not necessarily establishing a clear trend. Better to let it settle for an hour or so, then look for a cleaner setup.

We've had some luck centralizing documentation with a platform that pre-verifies some entities, then only requires localized addenda. Still a headache, but cuts down on redundant submissions.

Completely agree. Risk management via position sizing is fundamental. It ensures that even with a string of losses, no single trade significantly impacts the portfolio. Do you adjust your risk percentage based on market volatility?

I've seen the same. It's almost like they're trying to deter new applicants, or the regulatory burden has just ratcheted up so much that this is the new normal. Hard to tell which is the primary driver.

Yeah, I've definitely noticed a similar trend. The 'source of funds' requests have been particularly detailed for some of the newer firms, almost like they're doing a full financial audit. Makes you wonder if they're trying to weed out certain types of traders or if regulations are just getting tighter across the board.

1· commented onWatching DEFI at this 73.18 level· 1mo

Interesting to see your read on DEFI. Do you usually watch for a certain volume spike when it's testing these resistance levels, or is price action your main indicator for a potential break?

That's a really interesting point about the continuing claims. I often just glance at the headline number. Are there specific components of the continuing claims you find more indicative than others for dollar strength?

The DAX's performance isn't surprising given Germany's industrial base, but calling the FTSE "volatile" feels like an understatement. It's less about day-to-day moves and more about the fundamental economic headwinds the UK is facing right now. Are you factoring in the currency impact on your sentiment read?