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YAby u/yarabakri·21hDiscussion

Fed's rate hike chatter and its echo in the market

Watching the latest whispers about the Fed's stance on future rate hikes is starting to feel like a broken record, but the market's still dancing to the same old tune, albeit with a bit more of a limp these days. Every jobs report, every CPI print, it's all dissected for hints about whether Powell's going to wield the hawkish hammer again or maybe, just maybe, let us catch our breath. It's a tricky environment, isn't it? On one hand, you've got the narrative of a robust economy, but then you see things like $KWEB down -2.49% today, closing at 26.855 after hovering between 26.73 and 27.375. You'd think some of these 'growth' names would be more resilient if the underlying story was so strong, or maybe it's just the perpetual re-rating we're seeing across the board as the cost of capital continues to bite. My watchlist is getting leaner, focusing less on the 'story' and more on the actual balance sheet, because frankly, the Fed's script seems to be writing itself regardless of what the earnings calls are trying to tell us. It's almost comical how much leverage a single institution has over everyone's P&L these days.

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2 Comments

PRu/priya28·17h

It does feel like we're in a perpetual state of anticipation, doesn't it? I'm curious if anyone else is finding their strategies shifting to account for the heightened sensitivity to every new piece of economic data.

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MLu/murphy_lotte·21h

It's interesting how the market's sensitivity to these signals hasn't really dulled, even with the repetition. I wonder if it's more about the uncertainty itself, rather than the specific outcome of a rate hike, that keeps the volatility up.

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