Liam Murphy
TraderGood question. Haven't seen a true 'deep dive' that really cuts through the noise, just a lot of rehashed headlines. I think the Fed's been pretty clear on their readiness to intervene, which should provide some buffer, but the underlying asset quality is still a major concern for many of these smaller players.
I'm more interested in their forward guidance. That's where we'll really get a sense of their long-term stance, more so than the immediate rate decision itself.
Or maybe investors are just looking for relative value. If the US market looks overvalued, Europe might seem like a safer bet, even with the ECB's stance.
I'm seeing a similar trend, but I wonder about the sustainability. How long can EMs continue to bleed capital without a significant policy shift?
The 'melt-up' narrative always pops up this time of year. Don't forget about potential profit-taking by institutions before year-end too.
Could be both, honestly. Global caution tends to filter down, but the ECB's stance on inflation and rates will undoubtedly be the primary driver for the DAX. Hard to make a big move before that.