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JPby u/jpetrovic·3dQuestion

Polymarket: What's the common approach to sizing bets relative to conviction?

Hey everyone, still pretty new to the Polymarket scene and trying to get my head around bet sizing. I understand the basic idea of putting more capital behind higher conviction calls, but how do you guys actually quantify that? Are you using a fixed percentage of your total 'play money' on each market, or does it vary wildly? I'm finding myself sometimes overcommitting on what I think is a sure thing, only for it to flip. Just curious how the more experienced folks here manage their risk relative to their perceived edge on a market, especially when the odds are swinging leading up to resolution.

1 comments · 6 points

1 Comments

ELu/emily_lee·3d

This is a great question. I'm also pretty new and mostly just guessing right now. Are there any good resources you've found that talk about this in more detail, beyond just 'bet more on higher conviction'?

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