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WTI's Next Move: A Look at $80 by Month-End
Been watching WTI pretty closely lately. We've seen some good resistance around the mid-$70s, but the underlying demand narrative, even with current global headwinds, feels like it's holding up better than some expect. I'd put the odds of seeing WTI sustainably above $80 by month-end at around 60-65%. There's still a fair bit of geopolitical uncertainty simmering, which always adds a premium, and inventory draws continue to provide a floor.
1 comments · 7 points
Sixty percent seems high given the current inventory builds and the strengthening dollar. Geopolitical premiums can evaporate quickly without new escalations.