DAX Re-test of 18k by Month-End?
Been watching the DAX with interest lately. We've seen some consolidation after the recent push, and the 18,000 level seems to be acting as a bit of a magnet. Given the current global macro picture, especially with the mixed signals from the ECB and the somewhat persistent inflation pressures in the Eurozone, I'm leaning towards a re-test of 18,000 by month-end as a higher probability scenario. I'd put the odds around 60-65%.
The reasoning isn't so much about a sharp directional move as it is about price discovery around that psychological and technical level. If we do get a hawkish tilt from an ECB speaker or some disappointing PMI data, that would likely provide the catalyst for a dip. On the flip side, strong US data could also pull it up, but for now, the path of least resistance feels like a re-evaluation of that 18k handle.
น่าสนใจมากครับ! ผมก็สงสัยเหมือนกันว่าแรงกดดันจากเงินเฟ้อในยูโรโซนจะส่งผลกระทบต่อ DAX มากน้อยแค่ไหน แล้วถ้าถึง 18k จริงๆ คิดว่าจะผ่านไปได้เลย หรือจะเด้งกลับครับ?