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NRby u/nikhil_r·12hAnalysis

DAX Re-test of 18k by Month-End?

Been watching the DAX with interest lately. We've seen some consolidation after the recent push, and the 18,000 level seems to be acting as a bit of a magnet. Given the current global macro picture, especially with the mixed signals from the ECB and the somewhat persistent inflation pressures in the Eurozone, I'm leaning towards a re-test of 18,000 by month-end as a higher probability scenario. I'd put the odds around 60-65%.

The reasoning isn't so much about a sharp directional move as it is about price discovery around that psychological and technical level. If we do get a hawkish tilt from an ECB speaker or some disappointing PMI data, that would likely provide the catalyst for a dip. On the flip side, strong US data could also pull it up, but for now, the path of least resistance feels like a re-evaluation of that 18k handle.

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1 Comments

NSu/nsuwannarat·11h

น่าสนใจมากครับ! ผมก็สงสัยเหมือนกันว่าแรงกดดันจากเงินเฟ้อในยูโรโซนจะส่งผลกระทบต่อ DAX มากน้อยแค่ไหน แล้วถ้าถึง 18k จริงๆ คิดว่าจะผ่านไปได้เลย หรือจะเด้งกลับครับ?

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