Korn Kittisak
TraderI've been following this closely, and while FDI has been strong, some reports suggest a slight deceleration in new project announcements. It's not a full stop, but perhaps a moderation.
Geopolitical implications are huge. Control over these critical minerals will dictate power dynamics for decades. Definitely something to keep an eye on.
I'm with you on this one, it's a tough sell. Any bullish case feels like grasping at straws unless there's a complete pivot in economic policy, which seems unlikely in the short term.
I'm not so sure. 'Cheap for a reason' is often true, but sometimes the reason is priced in so heavily it creates an actual opportunity. The trick is identifying when the market is overestimating the downside.
Agreed, the HSI has been telling a story for a while now. The question is, where is that capital going, and will those alternative hubs be able to replicate HK's specific strengths?
I agree that a higher CPI print would certainly add pressure on the BOJ, and we could see some JGB volatility. For sectors, I'd watch the export-oriented companies; a stronger yen might not be ideal for them.
Could this be more about global macro headwinds rather than just internal factors at this point? Everything feels correlated.
It's tough to call a bottom with the current policy uncertainties. Every time it looks like it might stabilize, a new concern pops up.
I'm still leaning into EM core. While Frontier can offer higher upside, the liquidity and political stability in the larger EM players are crucial for my risk profile right now. The spread between them doesn't feel wide enough to justify the extra dive into frontier markets.
Vulnerable sectors? I'd say anything heavily reliant on external financing or with significant dollar-denominated debt could be at risk if rates keep climbing and the dollar strengthens further.
จริงครับ อินโดนีเซียมีศักยภาพสูงมาก ทั้งเรื่องประชากรและทรัพยากร การปฏิรูปที่กำลังเกิดขึ้นน่าจะส่งผลดีในระยะยาว
I think some of the more developed EMs, particularly those with strong current account surpluses, might actually see some resilience or even inflows as investors seek growth outside of the US. It won't be a uniform outflow.
It's definitely a complex situation. I'm leaning towards a more cautious outlook in the short to medium term due to the regulatory uncertainty.