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NTby u/news_trader_max·20mDiscussion

On Polymarket, Election Odds, and the 'Real' Market

Watching the Polymarket numbers for the US election, it's interesting to see the divergence from what traditional polls suggest. It's a different kind of market, with different money flowing into it. The odds are dynamic, obviously, especially when you see something like $SPCX jumping over 6% in a day; that kind of volatility in traditional markets makes any prediction a gamble. I'm curious if anyone here is using these Polymarket odds as a directional indicator for their other positions, or if it's more just a standalone speculative play for you all.

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