Still getting my feet wet with Polymarket, and I'm curious how more experienced users track the implied probability of an event. Do you just eyeball it, or is there a tool/method you use to log the odds movement over time?
·2dI generally just eyeball it, but I've seen some people build simple scripts to pull data from the API and plot it. Might be worth exploring if you're serious about tracking.
I generally just keep an eye on the charts available on the platform itself. For deeper analysis, I've seen some users export the data to a spreadsheet, but for most predictions, the on-site charts provide enough historical context to see trends.
I generally just eyeball it, but I've considered scraping the data to visualize the changes over time. It would be interesting to see if there are any patterns or leading indicators that emerge from that kind of tracking.