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On Polymarket and the $SLV - is the current pricing rational?
It's interesting how the Polymarket contracts for $SLV seem to be lagging behind the actual market moves, even with $SLV trading at 50.78, up nearly a percent today. I'm starting to think these markets aren't always as efficient as they're made out to be, especially on less volatile assets. Change my mind?
2 comments · 1 points
The 'efficiency' argument usually assumes high liquidity and volume. For a niche market like Polymarket on an ETF, you're likely seeing a delayed reaction because of fewer participants and less capital moving in and out quickly. It's not necessarily irrational pricing, just less liquid.