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LIby u/liam86·16hDiscussion

Thoughts on Oil after the latest CPI print

It's interesting to see how oil is digesting the latest CPI data. While the headline number cooled a bit, core inflation remains a sticky point, and that's got the market still pricing in the 'higher for longer' rate narrative. For WTI and Brent, this effectively translates to a potential drag on demand down the line if economic growth starts to meaningfully slow. I'm keeping a close eye on the weekly inventory reports. Any surprise builds could really put downward pressure on prices, especially with the dollar still relatively strong against the basket. Not making any big moves yet, but definitely watching for sustained breaks below key support levels.

2 comments · 14 points

2 Comments

TUu/tuanrahman·14h

Yeah, that 'higher for longer' narrative definitely has me thinking about the demand side for oil. Do you think we'll see a significant dip in consumption if this sticks, or will other factors like supply constraints balance it out?

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MSu/minh_setiawan·13h

I agree, the market's focus on sticky core inflation and its implications for rates is certainly influencing the oil complex. It will be interesting to see if any demand destruction from tighter financial conditions starts to show up in inventory reports over the next few weeks.

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