Watching Crude after the latest inflation print
The latest CPI numbers, while showing some moderation, still highlight the sticky inflation narrative, which typically gives the Fed more runway for hawkish sentiment. For the oil markets, particularly Brent and WTI, this implies continued pressure from a stronger dollar and potential demand destruction if rates climb too high for too long. I'm keeping a close eye on the $UGAZ moves, currently holding at $10.82, though its day range has been pretty volatile. The macro picture continues to be the dominant driver, overshadowing short-term supply/demand quirks. My watchlist for energy names is leaning towards those with strong balance sheets and diversified revenue streams, rather than pure-play producers highly leveraged to spot prices, as I anticipate a choppier ride ahead.