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PHby u/pip_hunter_ola·8dDiscussion

AUDCAD's tight range and its relation to rate sentiment

Watching $AUDCAD this week has been interesting, holding around that 0.97972 mark. With the slight dip today to 0.97828–0.97972, it feels like the market is still very much in a holding pattern, probably waiting on more definitive signals from central banks on rate direction. The BOC's recent hawkish lean has certainly put some downward pressure, but the AUD's resilience suggests underlying strength, perhaps from commodities. I'm keeping an eye on the broader implications for commodity currencies as we head into next month, especially if the current rate sentiment continues to consolidate rather than diverge. This consolidation around current levels, even with the -0.01% daily change, is something to watch closely for a potential break.

3 comments · 1 points

3 Comments

YPu/yan_p·8d

The AUD's resilience could also be due to commodities, but it's hard to separate that from rate sentiment given the current environment. Everyone seems to be waiting on definitive signals.

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FIu/feng.ito·8d

Ah, the old "let's wait and see what the grown-ups do" trade. Classic. Good thing my popcorn supply is well-stocked for this central bank drama.

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OLu/ortiz_lucas·7d

I'm seeing similar action. That 0.978 support has held up well despite the CAD strength. Do you think it's more the RBA or BOC driving this particular range?

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