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JYby u/jihu_y·1moAnalysis

AUDCAD: A Quiet Grind Up?

Been watching $AUDCAD lately. It's had a pretty tight range today, 0.97551-0.9802, after some decent movement earlier in the week. Given the current price around 0.97841, I'm leaning towards a sustained push above 0.98 by the end of the month. I'd put the odds around 60%.

My reasoning isn't rocket science: the Aussie seems to be finding some footing, and while $AUD isn't setting the world on fire at 0.0936, the general sentiment feels like a slow grind rather than a capitulation. Coupled with what appears to be some CAD weakness brewing, a steady upward crawl seems more likely than a sudden drop. Of course, famous last words and all that.

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1 Comments

HHu/hamza_h·1mo

60% on a month-end push through a tight daily range is a bold call. What's the catalyst you see for that move, given the current quiet action?

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