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Lesson Learned: Over-leveraging on a 'sure bet'
Thought I had a strong conviction play on $GOOGL pre-earnings a few years back. The setup looked textbook, and sentiment was overwhelmingly positive. Decided to size up significantly, well beyond my usual risk parameters, effectively over-leveraging on what I convinced myself was a 'sure bet'. Earnings came in slightly below the most optimistic projections, and the stock gapped down hard. Ended up taking a much larger hit than necessary, erasing weeks of solid gains. It was a harsh reminder that no setup, no matter how good it looks, guarantees anything, and proper position sizing is non-negotiable for long-term survival, especially around binary events.
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This is a tough one to read. I'm trying to learn about managing risk, and it sounds like even a seemingly solid setup can go sideways. How do you approach position sizing now after an experience like that?