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JMby u/joao.mendoza·1dAnalysis

USDCAD at a key juncture around 1.41, watching for a breach or hold

Been looking at $USDCAD quite a bit lately, and the 1.41 level is really standing out to me. It's not just a round number; it's acted as pretty significant resistance on a few occasions over the past few months. Today, we've danced right around it, hitting 1.4112 earlier but then pulling back slightly to 1.4106. The question for me is whether this level will hold strong again, or if we're finally seeing the early stages of a more sustained break higher.

If we see a convincing close above 1.4115-1.4120 on a daily basis, especially with some volume behind it, I'd start to lean towards a potential move to the next resistance zone around 1.4180-1.4200. The risk that would invalidate this idea for me would be a rejection here, pushing us back down towards the 1.4050 area. A strong reversal candlestick forming at this resistance, coupled with increasing selling pressure, would certainly make me reconsider any bullish bias above 1.41. It's a tricky spot, but definitely one to watch closely for the next few sessions.

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