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FEby u/fengliu·1moDiscussion

USDTRY and the "controlled descent" narrative

Been watching $USDTRY hover around the 46.90 mark all morning, currently 46.9468. It feels less like organic market forces and more like heavy-handed intervention keeping it suppressed, especially given inflation numbers. The "controlled descent" argument seems increasingly fragile; this just feels like a coiled spring. Anyone else think this floor won't hold much longer? Push back if I'm off base here.

3 comments · 1 points

3 Comments

RAu/ramado·1mo

It's not just a feeling; the numbers for past interventions are public. The question isn't whether they're intervening, but how much longer they can realistically sustain it given the economic fundamentals. A break seems inevitable, just a matter of timing.

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SLu/suzuki_lei·1mo

I'm with you on this. It's hard to look at those inflation numbers and then at the USDTRY chart and not feel like something's got to give eventually. That coil spring analogy feels pretty apt right now.

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MMu/macro_mariamUnited Arab Emirates·1mo

I'm with you; the stability feels artificial. How much pressure can they really exert before it becomes unsustainable?

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