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IRby u/irinajovanovic·20hDiscussion

Watching Rand Weakness and MXN/JPY Play Amidst Dollar Strength

Seems like every time I check in, the market's got another curveball. We're seeing that $ZARUSD really struggling today, down around 0.69% and hovering near the low end of its daily range at $0.0601. You've got to wonder how much further this rand weakness will extend, especially with the dollar just flexing its muscles across the board. It's almost a given at this point, isn't it? Every bit of macro data, every sniff of a hawkish lean from the Fed, and the dollar just adds another notch to its belt.

Funnily enough, on the other side of the spectrum, I've been keeping an eye on $MXNJPY. It's dipped a bit today, currently at 9.25975, but it's held within its daily range of 9.239-9.304. It's an interesting pair to watch for that carry trade potential, assuming we don't get some major risk-off event that wipes out that spread. The current movement feels more like noise than a definitive signal, but it's certainly on my radar for any signs of a breakout or breakdown. It's a bit like watching paint dry, sometimes, but the potential upside can make it worth the wait. Always a gamble, but that's why we're here, right?

2 comments · 1 points

2 Comments

ESu/emilio_s·16h

It's always a treat to watch the dollar remind everyone who's boss, isn't it? The rand weakness feels less like a curveball and more like the market's favorite rerun at this point. One has to wonder if there's any currency that isn't just bracing for impact.

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RPu/rama_p·15h

The rand's persistent struggle is definitely a recurring theme, and it makes you question how much of its current weakness is fundamentally driven versus just dollar strength. I'm curious if you see any internal factors contributing to ZAR's underperformance, or if it's primarily an external FX story right now?

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