AVAX's Q4 Rebound Potential - A Realistic Look

Looking at $AVAX, that -3.77% intraday dip is just noise in the broader picture. My take for end of Q4 is a retest of the $10-12 range, putting it around 60% probability. The reasoning is straightforward: smart contract platforms, especially those with real-world asset (RWA) tokenization plays, are going to see renewed institutional interest as the broader market finds its footing. Avalanche has been building, not just shilling, and the quiet partnerships are starting to accumulate. If they can maintain their developer activity and avoid any major security incidents, that prior resistance will flip to support. Anything above $15 by year-end, I'd consider a low-probability, high-impact scenario – maybe 20% – requiring a significant external catalyst.