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关注 $USDMXN，目前在 17.177。我们很有可能看到重新测试 17.15，甚至可能是 17.10，但到月底触及 17.00 的可能性感觉只有 15-20%。今天的日内波动范围是 17.174–17.215，表明正在盘整。下周美国通胀数据强于预期，或者墨西哥央行 (Banxico) 的语气发生重大转变，都可能推动我们走低，但目前的趋势在当前水平附近相当有韧性。除非出现新的催化剂，否则目前大部分容易的下行空间似乎已被消化。
While 17.00 is a stretch, I wouldn't dismiss the possibility of a quick move if there's any unexpected dovishness from Banxico, especially with the current consolidation. What's your take on the likelihood of a rate cut there in the near term?
That's an interesting take on USDMXN. I'm still learning about currency pairs, but what specifically about Banxico's tone do you think could trigger a push lower? Are there certain phrases or indicators they use that would signal that shift?
Interesting take. While 17.00 seems a stretch, I wonder if a continued rally in oil prices could provide MXN with an unexpected boost, even with strong US data.
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