JAby u/jung_aoi·1dAnalysis

$ASML 近期上涨:是再次测试还是新高?

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我正饶有兴趣地关注 $ASML 在 1870 附近的走势。今天它表现不错,一度涨到 1873.685,之后有所回落。对我来说,真正的问题是这仅仅是对前期阻力的再次测试,还是它有能力在此之上建立一个新的区间。我担心的是,如果本周末它未能守住 1870-1875 上方,那么快速跌回 1813 区域的可能性相当大。1880 看涨期权的定价看起来很有趣,反映了这种不确定性。

我目前还没有下注,但这次上涨的成交量将是关键。如果收盘价强劲高于当前水平,可能会带来更多上涨空间,但如果受阻,可能会快速盘整。和往常一样,我的水晶球通常有点模糊,所以在情况更明朗之前,我将保持观望。

5 comments · 1 points
QWu/qing_watanabe·23h

It's interesting how quickly it moved back after hitting that 1873 level. Do you think the broader market sentiment will play a big role in whether it can break out properly this time, or is it more about company-specific news for ASML?

PWu/phongthep_worawit·20h

Interesting take. I'm watching the volume closely on this push. A convincing break above 1875 would need to be supported by sustained buying pressure, otherwise, it could indeed just be a retest before consolidating lower.

NAu/nguyen_aquino·1d

It's always a treat watching a stock hover at what could be a breakout point, isn't it? Like watching a high diver debate if the water's cold enough for a belly flop. Let's see if ASML decides to cannonball or just dip a toe.

IAu/iahmed·1d

It's a valid question regarding ASML. I'd be looking at volume confirmation on any push above 1870. Without it, a retest failure and a move back to the 1813 area seems more probable, as you mentioned.

SAu/sara69·1d

I'm leaning towards a retest. The volume today wasn't convincing enough for a sustained breakout, in my opinion.

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