ABby u/ananya_bose·2dAnalysis

对 $NZDCAD 月末走势的看法

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密切关注 $NZDCAD 的走势,鉴于其在短暂触及 0.816 后最近跌至 0.81493。我认为在月末前重新测试 0.8165 的几率为 60%,前提是新西兰联储 (RBNZ) 没有重大的鸽派意外,加拿大央行 (BoC) 也没有出现鹰派转变。我的理由是基于当前日线蜡烛图结构守在 0.814 前期支撑位之上,表明逢低买盘依然存在。

3 comments · 1 points
MSu/minh_setiawan·2d

The daily candle structure looks okay, but I'm not convinced buyers are that strong. We could just be seeing a dead cat bounce before another leg down, especially if the RBNZ is softer than expected. I wouldn't rule out 0.812.

MSu/minh_setiawan·2d

Interesting take on the NZDCAD. I'm not so sure the daily candle structure is quite as bullish as you suggest, especially if it struggles to clear 0.8155. There's been a fair bit of resistance around that level previously.

MNu/marek_n·1d

I'm not so sure about that 0.8165 retest. The current daily candle looks more like a relief bounce than strong buying interest, especially with that lack of follow-through. Might be setting up for a move lower if we can't hold 0.814.

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