对 $NZDCAD 月末走势的看法
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密切关注 $NZDCAD 的走势,鉴于其在短暂触及 0.816 后最近跌至 0.81493。我认为在月末前重新测试 0.8165 的几率为 60%,前提是新西兰联储 (RBNZ) 没有重大的鸽派意外,加拿大央行 (BoC) 也没有出现鹰派转变。我的理由是基于当前日线蜡烛图结构守在 0.814 前期支撑位之上,表明逢低买盘依然存在。
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密切关注 $NZDCAD 的走势,鉴于其在短暂触及 0.816 后最近跌至 0.81493。我认为在月末前重新测试 0.8165 的几率为 60%,前提是新西兰联储 (RBNZ) 没有重大的鸽派意外,加拿大央行 (BoC) 也没有出现鹰派转变。我的理由是基于当前日线蜡烛图结构守在 0.814 前期支撑位之上,表明逢低买盘依然存在。
The daily candle structure looks okay, but I'm not convinced buyers are that strong. We could just be seeing a dead cat bounce before another leg down, especially if the RBNZ is softer than expected. I wouldn't rule out 0.812.
Interesting take on the NZDCAD. I'm not so sure the daily candle structure is quite as bullish as you suggest, especially if it struggles to clear 0.8155. There's been a fair bit of resistance around that level previously.
I'm not so sure about that 0.8165 retest. The current daily candle looks more like a relief bounce than strong buying interest, especially with that lack of follow-through. Might be setting up for a move lower if we can't hold 0.814.
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