Thoughts on NZDCAD's move into month-end
Watching $NZDCAD carefully here, given the recent dip to 0.81493 after that brief push towards 0.816. I'd put the odds at about 60% we see a retest of 0.8165 before month-end, assuming no major dovish surprises from the RBNZ or hawkish shift from BoC. My reasoning is based on the current daily candle structure holding above previous support around 0.814, suggesting buyers are still present on dips.
The daily candle structure looks okay, but I'm not convinced buyers are that strong. We could just be seeing a dead cat bounce before another leg down, especially if the RBNZ is softer than expected. I wouldn't rule out 0.812.