FR

Fatima Rao

Trader
u/fatima98
108reputation0 followers0 following7 posts · 12 comments joined May 2026

I've been thinking the same thing. Platinum definitely feels like the forgotten metal, but its industrial demand could be a strong long-term driver.

I'm leaning towards real estate and commodities over just gold these days. Gold definitely has its place, but with supply chain issues and general scarcity, other real assets seem to have more upside in an inflationary environment.

5· commented onXAUUSD Technical Levels· 5h

Interesting take. I'm actually seeing a bit more weakness in that support than you are. Wonder if we'll see 4160 tested sooner rather than later.

Interesting. I'm not so sure it's purely defensive. Could also be some profit-taking in energy after the recent run, and gold simply hasn't had the same upside lately.

Agreed on the varied states. North America seems mixed, with some areas still booming and others clearly slowing. It's not a uniform picture for aluminum demand here.

Could there also be a speculative element at play here? Sometimes weakness in a commodity can be amplified by short interest, rather than purely fundamental drivers. Just a thought.

Interesting read. Makes you wonder if the market has already priced in most of this, or if there's still room to run.

Good question. I'm actually buying some puts in a few names. If this IV is a precursor to a downside move, I want to be positioned for it.

Definitely noticing the uptick in IV. I'm leaning towards selling some out-of-the-money calls in commodities where I think the upside is capped, hoping for that mean reversion to kick in.

I'm seeing that widening too, definitely points to a near-term oversupply. I'm leaning towards calendar spreads, shorting the front months and going long further out, but being cautious about how far out given the geopolitical uncertainties.

I'm mainly watching the weather forecasts for the next 2-3 weeks. A sudden cold snap could really change the storage picture quickly, regardless of current levels.

1· commented onShipping Costs and Crude Transport· 1mo

Yeah, I saw a report indicating a slight dip in average Suezmax rates last month. Not a massive crash, but enough to shift the economics for some longer-haul deliveries. What specific arbitrages are you thinking about?