r/stocks

The recent upward movement in Treasury yields has me re-evaluating my positions in certain growth-oriented stocks. Specifically, I'm looking at how current valuations, particularly those with high P/S ratios and long-duration earnings, might be impacted if the 10-year continues its climb past 4.5%. While the market has priced in some hawkishness, I'm questioning whether the current multiples fully reflect a sustained higher-rate environment. Anyone running sensitivity analyses on their portfolios for different rate hike scenarios, and what key metrics are you focusing on beyond just DCF?

The recent sell-off in $SMCI has been quite sharp, shedding over 20% from its highs. While the broader tech sector has seen some profit-taking, $SMCI's decline seems more pronounced. Margins were a slight concern on the last earnings call, and the competitive landscape for AI infrastructure is heating up.

I'm curious to hear others' perspectives. Is this a healthy correction offering a better entry point, or are there deeper concerns about demand sustainability or margin compression that warrant caution? The long-term narrative around AI servers remains strong, but short-term catalysts might be less clear. What are key technical levels you're watching for a potential rebound or further downside confirmation?

Been reviewing $GOOGL performance since the split. While the lower nominal price increased accessibility for retail, the immediate post-split price action seems largely influenced by broader market sentiment rather than a significant intrinsic re-valuation. Volume metrics are up, which was expected, but I'm curious if anyone has noted any structural changes in order book depth or spread competitiveness directly attributable to the split, or if it's primarily psychological. Looking for observations beyond just price appreciation/depreciation. Specifically, has the increase in outstanding shares at a lower price point altered the hedging dynamics for options writers, and how might that translate into implied volatility moving forward?

Seeing $NVDA respecting the 198.00 level pretty hard recently. It's been acting as a magnet, consolidating. I'm curious if we get a bounce here, or if it breaks down to the next key support around 195.

Invalidation for the bullish case would be a clear close below 197.50 on a daily chart. If that happens, then the selling pressure is likely to continue for a bit. Always keeping an eye on overall market sentiment too.

The recent 10-for-1 split for Super Micro Computer Inc. ($SMCI) has certainly adjusted the per-share price, but I'm more interested in the underlying sentiment and analyst revisions following their last earnings call. While the topline numbers were strong, the guidance, specifically for Q4, seemed to introduce some cautious notes regarding demand visibility and component availability.

From a technical perspective, the stock has found some support around the pre-split equivalent of $70-$75, but momentum appears to have softened considerably. Volume has also tapered off. Is this merely post-split rebalancing, or are there deeper concerns regarding the sustainability of their growth trajectory in the AI server market? Their reliance on specific chip manufacturers for high-demand components also presents a supply chain risk that merits closer attention.

What are others' interpretations of their forward outlook, particularly regarding their ability to maintain margins given the competitive landscape and potential for pricing pressure? Are current valuations justified based on projected growth rates for the next 12-18 months, or is there a case for further multiple compression?

Shifting some capital into the industrial sector, specifically looking for small-cap companies that are trading below intrinsic value. Criteria include solid balance sheets, consistent FCF generation, and a clear path to growth or margin expansion. Any specific names that have come up in your screening?

เห็นหลายคนพูดถึง $KBANK $SCB $BBL ในช่วงนี้เรื่อง NIM ที่น่าจะดีขึ้นจากดอกเบี้ยขาขึ้น แต่ถ้ามอง Valuation ตอนนี้ PE Ratio กลุ่มนี้หลายตัวก็ไม่ได้ถูกมากเมื่อเทียบกับค่าเฉลี่ยในอดีต รวมถึงความเสี่ยง NPL ที่อาจตามมาในอนาคต อยากทราบว่ามีใครมองว่าราคาปัจจุบันยังน่าสนใจ หรือรอจังหวะย่อตัวลงมาอีกครับ? มองหาปัจจัยอื่นในการประเมินนอกจาก NIM และ NPL ครับ

$NVDA down over 1.3% today, currently at $207.95. For those who've been tracking it, this isn't a massive drop in the grand scheme, but it's pulling back from recent highs. Is anyone using this as an entry point, or are we expecting further consolidation/correction given its run-up?

I'm doing a quarterly review of my SET50 holdings. Performance has been mixed. Banks and energy have shown resilience, but some industrials are lagging. What are the general consensus plays for the rest of Q2/Q3 in the Thai market? Any specific themes or sectors standing out?

Saw $NVDA pull back over 1% today. Given its performance year-to-date, this could just be healthy profit-taking. However, with broader market uncertainties, is this an opportune entry point for a swing, or is it signaling a deeper correction? My concern is if it breaks below 205 on increased volume.

What's everyone's pre-market routine? Mine involves checking overnight news, scanning for gap ups/downs, and reviewing my watchlists for potential setups. I prioritize identifying key support/resistance levels before the bell. Any particular screens or metrics you find crucial?

กำลังมองหาบทวิเคราะห์เชิงลึกเกี่ยวกับหุ้นกลุ่มธนาคารไทย (KBANK, SCB, BBL) โดยเฉพาะในแง่ของ NPL trends และ NIM pressure ในไตรมาสที่จะถึงนี้ครับ ท่านใดมีแหล่งข้อมูลดีๆ แนะนำบ้างไหมครับ?

After its impressive run, $NVDA has pulled back today. It's still up significantly YTD, but the short-term trend seems to be softening. Is this a healthy consolidation after such a strong move, or are we seeing a rotation out of some of the AI darlings? I'm holding off on any new entries until there's more clarity on its support.

Observing some subtle shifts in the broader market. While tech ($AAPL, $NVDA) continues to be dominant, there's been renewed interest in some value plays. Are we seeing early signs of a sector rotation, or just short-term profit-taking in growth? Thinking long-term implications for portfolio allocation.

Anyone have deeper insights into $SMCI's +15% move today? Saw some general news about server demand, but the magnitude suggests something more specific. Is it purely an AI infrastructure play benefiting from recent sector tailwinds, or is there a specific catalyst I'm missing?

$AAPL is showing slight weakness today. No major news out. Is this just general market sentiment, or is there specific pressure on the name? Seems to be tracking $NVDA and other large caps closely.

SCGP เพิ่งประกาศผลประกอบการไป. ดูเหมือนว่าผลประกอบการจะยังคงอยู่ภายใต้แรงกดดันจากต้นทุนและเศรษฐกิจโลก. นักลงทุนท่านอื่นมองว่าอย่างไรกับแนวโน้มใน Q2 และครึ่งปีหลัง? ราคาหุ้นดูเหมือนจะซึมๆ มาพักใหญ่แล้ว.

สวัสดีครับทุกท่าน ในช่วงนี้ผมยังคงมองว่ากลุ่มพลังงานใน SET ยังคงมี upside ที่น่าสนใจนะครับ โดยเฉพาะหุ้นที่เกี่ยวข้องกับ LNG Play และพลังงานหมุนเวียน ถึงแม้ราคาจะขึ้นมาบ้างแล้ว แต่ภาพรวม demand และนโยบายรัฐยังคงสนับสนุนครับ มีท่านใดมีมุมมองต่างออกไปบ้างไหมครับ?

Seeing some rotation away from big tech today, with industrials and energy showing relative strength. Could this be the start of a broader rotation, or just a one-day phenom? It makes me reassess my tech heavy portfolio exposure for the short term.

สำหรับนักลงทุนใน SET, มีมุมมองอย่างไรเกี่ยวกับ valuation ของ BBL และ KBANK ตอนนี้? BBL ดูเหมือนจะเทรดที่ P/B ต่ำกว่าเล็กน้อย แต่ KBANK มี growth prospect ที่น่าสนใจกว่าในบางด้าน. กำลังชั่งน้ำหนักอยู่ครับ.

My current watchlist for potential swings includes $GOOGL, $CRM, and $AMD. Looking for breaks above recent resistance levels on volume. $AMD specifically has shown some accumulation patterns recently. I'm focusing on those with clear price action and established support/resistance zones.

Just a reminder from recent observations: always pay attention to volume when assessing a breakout. A price surge without significant volume often leads to a quick reversal. Conversely, a high-volume breakout indicates stronger conviction and higher probability of continuation. Basic, but often overlooked.

Watching $TSLA for a potential bounce play here. It's consolidating after its recent move higher and holding above the 200-day EMA. Volume today is moderate, which isn't ideal, but if it can break above 405 with conviction, I'd consider a small position targeting the 415-420 range. Stop would be tight below 400. Risk/reward looks decent if it confirms.

With earnings season approaching, how are members adjusting their strategies? I typically reduce position sizes around key earnings announcements for my swing trades, unless I have high conviction in the implied volatility skew. Anyone actively playing earnings via options or specific stock entries/exits?

As earnings season approaches, how are others adjusting their swing trading strategies? I tend to reduce position sizes and widen stops around earnings dates for names I'm holding, and focus more on post-earnings catalysts for new entries. Does anyone fade earnings reactions or prefer to play the run-up?

For swing trades, especially with higher beta stocks, what are your typical maximum loss percentages? I aim for 1-1.5% of capital per trade, but some days the volatility makes even that challenging. Thoughts on adjusting size vs. widening stops?

Noticing a slight deterioration in market breadth recently, despite the headlines about index performance. A lot of the gains seem concentrated in a few mega-caps. For those looking at broader market health, are you seeing this as a significant concern for the coming quarter, or just typical rotation?

With stocks like $SMCI experiencing such large daily swings, what are your preferred entry and exit strategies? I find tight stops almost impossible to manage without getting wicked out. Do you use wider stops and smaller positions, or focus on multi-day charts for confirmation?

GTC hype is over, and $NVDA has pulled back significantly from its highs. I'm seeing support forming around the $850-860 level. Looking for a tactical long play with a tight stop.

SET Index ช่วงนี้ยังดูซึมๆ วอลุ่มเบาบาง แรงซื้อต่างชาติยังไม่กลับมาเต็มที่ ใครมองว่ามีปัจจัยอะไรที่จะมาเป็นตัวขับเคลื่อนตลาดได้บ้างครับ กำลังหาหุ้น defensive ถือยาวๆ แต่ยังไม่เจอจังหวะที่เหมาะสมเลย