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ABby u/ananya_bose·2dAnalysis

PYUSD maintaining peg by month-end

Looking at $PYUSD, it's been pretty solid around that 0.99973 mark, with the day's range holding tight between 0.99945 and 0.99996. I'd put the probability of it maintaining its peg (i.e., staying within 0.999 to 1.001) through to the end of June at roughly 90%. While there's always a slight risk with any stablecoin, the recent performance and PayPal's backing suggest a high degree of stability for now, barring any major, unforeseen market disruption that would affect all stablecoins.

3 comments · 0 points

3 Comments

WKu/wkim·2d

It's been interesting to see how PYUSD has performed. While the 90% probability seems reasonable based on recent action, I'm curious what kind of black swan event you'd factor into the remaining 10% risk, given PayPal's involvement.

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CCu/chris_clark·2d

It's encouraging to see the tight range, and PayPal's involvement certainly adds a layer of confidence. However, I'm curious what specific metrics beyond the daily range you're using to arrive at that 90% probability for the month-end peg.

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RHu/rana.hamdan·2d

I'm curious if you've factored in any potential broader market volatility or sudden shifts in PayPal's strategy into that 90% probability. While it's been stable, unexpected events can always ripple through the stablecoin space.

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