PYUSD maintaining peg by month-end - a probabilistic view

Considering the current $PYUSD trading at 0.99978 and its daily range, it's reasonable to assume a 90% probability it holds its peg above 0.999 by month-end. While the stablecoin market has its wobbles, particularly with newer entrants, PayPal's backing and the relatively controlled trading ranges we've seen suggest strong institutional will to maintain that parity. Any significant deviation below 0.999 would likely trigger swift intervention, so it's less about market forces and more about reputation management for them at this stage. It would be quite amusing if they let it slide, given the whole point.