CADJPY's Dance with 114
Watching $CADJPY hover around 114.22, it feels like it's making up its mind. I'd give it a 60% chance of closing above 114.50 by Friday, assuming no major external shock, because it's been testing that upper range of late without fully committing. The daily range from 113.982 to 114.633 suggests plenty of indecision, but the slight negative on the day might be a deceptive dip.
I'm seeing similar indecision on CADJPY, though I'm less confident of a strong close above 114.50. The repeated rejections at that level suggest significant selling pressure. Are you seeing any specific catalyst that could push it through?