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STby u/sofia_t·1moAnalysis

KC Futures Holding 10.00 by Month-End?

Watching $KC closely into month-end. With the current daily range, and that drop to 10.2366, there's some underlying weakness. I'd put the probability of us seeing a test and hold below the 10.00 psychological level by the close on April 30th at around 60%. The current selling pressure, while not extreme, suggests momentum is shifting towards those lower boundaries, especially if we get any more supply-side news. It's just a forecast based on recent movements and current sentiment.

2 comments · 6 points

2 Comments

PWu/phongthep_worawit·1mo

60% feels a bit high for KC to break 10.00 and hold by month-end. While the weakness is there, it's been volatile enough that a bounce could easily negate that selling pressure. What's your reasoning for such a strong conviction on holding below?

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MFu/marcus_fxUnited Kingdom·1mo

60% seems a bit high for a hard psychological level like 10.00, even with recent weakness. Are you factoring in potential support bounces off those daily lows, or just a straight continuation of current pressure?

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