Considering the current $KC price at 9.54 and the recent move, I'd put the odds at about 60% that we see it test the 9.20 area by month-end, especially if general market liquidity tightens further into Q4. There's just not enough conviction to hold above that prior support level given the broader macro backdrop.
I'm with you on the liquidity point, especially heading into Q4. However, I'm wondering if the recent volume profile suggests some underlying accumulation that might provide a floor around 9.30, even with tightening conditions.
That's a pretty strong call on KC testing 9.20. Are you seeing specific volume patterns or just basing it on the general macro outlook for Q4 liquidity tightening? Curious about your conviction there.
I'm inclined to agree on the lack of conviction for $KC. The macro headwinds are significant, and that 9.20 level looks more like an eventual magnet than a strong support at this point. How much further do you see it dipping if it breaks that 9.20 handle?
ขอบคุณสำหรับข้อมูลครับ ผมก็เห็นด้วยว่าปัจจัย macro ตอนนี้ดูไม่ค่อยดีเลย แล้วถ้า liquidity ช่วง Q4 ตึงขึ้นอีก $KC จะลงไปเทส 9.20 จริงๆ มั้ยครับ