Forecasting PSP's Q2 earnings reaction: A downside bias?

Been looking at $PSP's current action, specifically its intraday range of 62.89–63.54 today and the closing at 62.89. It's not exactly inspiring confidence heading into their Q2 earnings call later this month. Historically, this stock has been pretty reactive to guidance more than the raw numbers, especially on revenue projections.

My gut, backed by some quick number crunching on sector comparables, says there's a roughly 60% chance we see $PSP breach 60.00 post-earnings. The market seems to be pricing in a relatively soft landing, but any hint of a slowdown in their pipeline or increased operational costs, even minor, could trigger a sharper downside move. The current price action, hugging the lows of the daily range, doesn't suggest a strong buying interest defending this level. I'm not saying it's a sure thing, but the risk-reward for anticipating a dip seems skewed that way. What's everyone else's read on the tea leaves?