I'm putting the odds at roughly 65% that $ETHUSD closes May above $1900. We've got a decent push today, currently at $1910.07, and the general sentiment seems to be finding some footing after a bit of a shakeout.
Interesting take, though relying on a 'shakeout' to find footing feels a bit circular. What are you seeing that gives you such confidence in that 65% probability for the month-end close?
65% is a pretty specific number for something so volatile. What's your reasoning beyond today's small move?
That's an interesting take. What makes you confident about the 65% odds, is it mostly the recent price action or are there other factors you're looking at?
Interesting take, but 65% feels a bit high given the market's recent volatility. Any specific metrics or on-chain data you're leaning on for that confidence level beyond today's push?