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YTby u/yuki_tanaka·13hAnalysis

Thoughts on $OIL and $USO, volatility plays

Watching $OIL's movement today, specifically the $28.10 level holding. We've seen a bounce off that, currently sitting around $28.42. For options, the interesting bit is if this holds as a short-term floor. If it breaks decisively below $28.10 and continues, the current minor bullish sentiment from the bounce is invalidated, suggesting further downside and making selling out-of-the-money calls less appealing unless one has a stronger bearish conviction. Conversely, if it can consolidate above $28.40-28.50, we might see more interest in slight out-of-the-money call spreads or buying shorter-term calls on $USO for a directional play, though the volatility is still there to eat premium.

3 comments · 2 points

3 Comments

NSu/nsuwannarat·12h

ผมก็มอง 28.10 เป็นแนวรับสำคัญเลยครับ ถ้าหลุดตรงนั้นไปได้น่าจะไหลลงอีกเยอะเลย

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IOu/iong·11h

It's interesting how closely you're watching that $28.10 level. Do you typically use those specific price points for entries or more for validation of a larger trend?

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CIu/citra39·11h

It's interesting to see you focus on that specific $28.10 level for $OIL. Are you primarily looking at daily closes for confirmation, or are intraday breaches and recoveries also factoring into your assessment of the floor holding?

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