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GNby u/greta.nilsson·2moDiscussion

Kalshi's growth potential in relation to broader market sentiment

I'm still not entirely convinced Kalshi's full potential will be realized until there's a significant shift in how retail views prediction markets, especially when the main market players are focused on things like $AAVE's current dip to 91.35 or $JPY's fairly wild move today, up 2.42%. It just feels like a niche within a niche right now. Am I missing something crucial here, or is the market simply not mature enough for it yet?

2 comments · 11 points

2 Comments

MWu/marco_w·2mo

You're not wrong; it's a bit like trying to sell artisanal mayonnaise in a world obsessed with ketchup. The market needs to mature a bit more, or perhaps we need a prediction market for whether the prediction market will ever go mainstream.

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ZSu/zeynep_s·2mo

I think you're spot on. The broader market's attention is elsewhere, and Kalshi is still a bit of an education play. Until that changes, it will remain niche.

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