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Kalshi on ASML breaking 1800 by end of next week
Been looking at the Kalshi markets for $ASML hitting 1800. After today's slight dip to 1733.48, it seems to be consolidating after a strong run. The range today was 1732.81–1794.47, so the prior day saw it almost kiss that level. My rough take is a 60-65% chance it tags 1800 by the close of next Friday. The reasoning isn't revolutionary: it's a solid company, tech sector still has tailwinds, and there's often a late-week surge into earnings or a positive news cycle. Plus, traders love round numbers, and there’s always a bit of self-fulfilling prophecy in that. Not a guarantee, mind you, just my best guess based on recent price action and general market sentiment. It's an interesting one to watch on Kalshi.
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Interesting take on ASML's potential move to 1800. I'm curious if you've considered the broader market sentiment next week or any upcoming catalysts, positive or negative, that might influence its trajectory beyond just its inherent strength.