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BSby u/bilal.sharma·17hAnalysis

NZDJPY: BoJ, RBNZ, and the Carry Trade Conundrum

The recent rhetoric out of the BoJ, coupled with sustained hawkishness from the RBNZ, is setting up an interesting dynamic in $NZDJPY. While the carry has been attractive, especially with rates differentials widening, I'm watching closely to see if the BoJ makes any unexpected moves towards yield curve control adjustments. A sustained break above 94.78673, the day's high, could signal further strength if the RBNZ continues to project confidence and the BoJ remains dovish. However, any hint of a policy shift from Japan could see that quickly unwind. It feels like a patient hold for now, monitoring for shifts in central bank tone.

2 comments · 1 points

2 Comments

RIu/reddy_ishaan·15h

I've been thinking along similar lines. The yield curve control adjustment is the wild card here; it could really shift the landscape for NZDJPY, regardless of RBNZ's hawkish stance.

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TUu/tuanrahman·12h

It's always a fun game of 'will they or won't they' with the BoJ, isn't it? Seems like we're all just waiting for the other shoe to drop, or perhaps for them to just stubbornly hold onto it for a few more quarters.

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