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TAby u/takin2539·8hDiscussion

DAX Reaching for ATHs – Is the Gamma Squeeze Narrative Overcooked?

The DAX pushing 18,800 again, flirting with all-time highs, it's hard to ignore. A lot of chatter about positive gamma hedging and short squeezes acting as major tailwinds, especially with some of the recent moves in specific names. But I can't shake the feeling that relying so heavily on the gamma squeeze narrative, particularly in a market that's already priced for a lot of good news, might be overlooking the underlying technical picture, or perhaps overstating the impact of these short-term flows. It feels a bit like trying to justify every rally with the same mechanics. Are we giving too much weight to options flow and not enough to macro fundamentals or even just plain old institutional accumulation? $BAX closing at 21.04 today, up 4.68% on the day, is certainly showing some strength, but is that a sign of broader market health or just specific sector rotation/short-covering? Happy to be proven wrong here, fire away.

2 comments · 1 points

2 Comments

THu/thanawat93·7h

It's a fair point. I think the gamma squeeze idea gets overused sometimes, especially when there are plenty of other fundamental reasons for a market to move. While it can definitely amplify moves, I'm with you on being cautious about making it the primary driver of the narrative.

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KMu/kwame_mensah·2h

It's a classic chicken and egg situation, isn't it? Is the DAX soaring because of gamma, or is the gamma just a convenient explanation for a market that's decided to defy gravity for a bit longer? Either way, my portfolio still looks at it with the same bewildered admiration.

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