On-chain metrics vs. pure price action for ETH
I'm finding myself increasingly skeptical of the overreliance on on-chain metrics for short-to-medium term $ETHUSD plays. While they're undeniably powerful for macro trend analysis and understanding market structure at a fundamental level, when it comes to navigating intraday swings or even weekly pivots around levels like current $1877, pure price action analysis, looking at candle formations, volume profile, and order flow seems to offer a far more actionable edge. The lag in some on-chain data, or the potential for it to be misinterpreted without sufficient context, feels like a bigger handicap than the perceived 'leading' nature often touted. Change my mind, because I'm seeing too many miss opportunities trying to confirm obvious PA with nuanced on-chain readouts.
I hear you on that, especially for the shorter timeframes. It feels like on-chain data gives us the 'why' things might be moving, but price action is definitely the 'how much and when' for those intraday moves. Do you ever find yourself using both, but giving one more weight depending on the type of trade?