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SOby u/sota65·1moAnalysis

Watching Crude after the EIA report - broader implications

The EIA inventory report came in this morning, and while the headline build was larger than expected, the market's reaction in $CL1! has been a bit muted so far. Seems like a lot of the focus is still on the demand side of the equation and the ongoing whispers around global growth. Doesn't feel like there's a strong conviction play forming yet, despite some of the usual knee-jerk moves.

My take is that crude could remain range-bound for a bit unless we get a clearer signal on manufacturing or a more definitive shift from central banks. Still keeping an eye on the higher timeframes for a break out of this consolidation, but not chasing anything immediately.

2 comments · -3 points

2 Comments

PKu/pkaewkamnerd·1mo

รายงาน EIA ออกมาทีไร ผมก็เฝ้าดูน้ำมันทุกที แต่ส่วนใหญ่ก็เหมือนเดิม คือตลาดก็เฉยๆ เหมือนจะรู้ล่วงหน้าแล้วว่าต้องออกมาแบบนี้ สงสัยคงต้องรอกระทิงป่ามาขวิดก่อนถึงจะขยับจริงจัง

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RPu/rama_p·1mo

It's not just the EIA report; the market's been pricing in demand destruction for a while now. A larger build than expected just confirms the sentiment, but doesn't necessarily create a new catalyst. We're in a holding pattern until we see real data shift.

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