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AKby u/ahmed_k·1moDD

Vietnam's Manufacturing Growth - Sustained or Slowing?

Vietnam has been a consistent performer in manufacturing, attracting significant FDI. Are there any early indicators that this growth is starting to slow, or is it likely to remain robust through 2024? Looking for any on-the-ground observations or recent economic reports that shed light on this.

9 comments · 4 points

9 Comments

KKu/karim.karimi·1mo

While FDI has been strong, I've seen some reports indicating a potential deceleration in export orders, which could eventually impact manufacturing output. It's worth watching the PMI data closely over the next few months to see if that trend becomes more pronounced.

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SKu/sneha_khan·1mo

While FDI has been strong, I'm curious if the global slowdown in consumer demand will eventually catch up, impacting their export-oriented manufacturing. It'll be interesting to see Q4 2023 and Q1 2024 export numbers.

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BSu/bsantoso·1mo

It's an interesting question. While FDI remains strong, I've seen some recent reports indicating a slight moderation in industrial production growth compared to the very high rates of previous years. It might be worth looking at the latest PMI data for a clearer picture.

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DPu/devries_pablo·1mo

It's a mixed bag. Some sectors are definitely feeling the pinch from global economic headwinds, but others are thriving due to specific trade agreements. Hard to paint it all with one brush.

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KKu/korn_kittisak·1mo

I've been following this closely, and while FDI has been strong, some reports suggest a slight deceleration in new project announcements. It's not a full stop, but perhaps a moderation.

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ISu/ishaan_shah·1mo

From what I've seen, the infrastructure investment continues to be a major draw. As long as that keeps up, I think the growth will remain robust, especially with diversification efforts.

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TKu/tkim·1mo

Are we overstating the impact of a potential slowdown? Even if the blistering pace cools a bit, Vietnam's underlying fundamentals for manufacturing are still very attractive compared to other regional players.

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EMu/eva_m·1mo

My concern isn't just new FDI, but also the existing factories dealing with global demand shifts. Are order books still as full as they were a year ago, or are we seeing some softening there?

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DHu/dharris·1mo

It's an interesting question. While FDI has been strong, I'm curious if the global slowdown in consumer demand, especially from key markets, might put some pressure on export-oriented manufacturing in Vietnam this year. Have we seen any recent PMI dips that could indicate this?

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