Thoughts on CPI this week and Fed dovishness
It feels like everyone's bracing for a CPI print that’s either going to slam us back into recession talk or launch us straight into rate cut fantasies. My money's on the market reading any slight moderation in core CPI as an excuse to price in aggressive cuts for Q3, regardless of what Powell actually mumbles. I'd give it a 60% chance we see a knee-jerk rally, with $EMXC pushing back towards $95 before month-end, only for reality to slowly set in again by the following week.