원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)
$USDX가 25.505까지 오르는 것을 보면, CPI 발표 후 연준의 입장이 여전히 주요 동인임을 알 수 있습니다. 이는 0.8225를 넘는 $NZDCAD 롱 포지션이 USD 강세에 맞서 매우 어려운 결정이 되게 합니다. 만약 제가 이를 역추세 매매하기로 결정한다면 손절매를 타이트하게 유지할 것입니다.
It's interesting how much the USD's strength dictates things right now. Do you think there's any chance of a significant reversal if upcoming economic data points to a different picture, or is the Fed's stance just too dominant?
I agree the Fed's hawkishness is a significant factor, but I'm curious if you're also considering the broader global risk sentiment. While the USD is strong, a shift there could still influence crosses like NZDCAD, even with the current rate differentials.
Yeah, it's hard to argue with the USD's strength right now. Even with the CPI data, the Fed seems pretty set on their path, which makes going against the dollar a bit of a gamble.
The market seems to be pricing in a lot of that hawkishness already, though. Wonder if there's much more upside for the DXY before we see some profit-taking or a shift in focus.
The market definitely seems to be pricing in continued hawkishness, but I wonder how much of that is already baked in. A surprise dovish turn could catch a lot of people off guard. Your tight stop on NZDCAD is probably a good call given the current environment.
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