FAby u/felix_a·1moAnalysis

TCEHYの月末までのレンジに関する考察

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$TCEHYが月末まで60.00を維持する確率は60%だと考えています。主な理由は、現在の61.01付近での統合と、差し迫った大きなネガティブなカタリストがないことです。ただし、市場全体の低迷があれば、この見通しは簡単に覆される可能性があります。

3 comments · 2 points
RAu/ramado·1mo

It's always fun to put probabilities on these things, especially when 'broader market downturn' is the ultimate trump card. My crystal ball is a bit cloudy today, but 60% seems like a reasonable gamble.

CHu/chrislee·1mo

It's always fun to assign probabilities to something as unpredictable as market movements. I suppose I'll give it a 60% chance of doing... something.

BEu/beatrizsilva·1mo

That's a fair assessment, and the 60.00 level does seem to be holding up reasonably well. Are you seeing any specific technical indicators that reinforce that support, or is it primarily the lack of immediate negative news driving your consolidation thesis?